It appears that yet another final ‘nail in the coffin’ has been hammered home debunking the Anthropogenic Global Warming (AGW) scam.
The Daily Mail reported that the Met Office and the University of East Anglia have released a report stating that global temperatures have been flat since 1997.
“The supposed ‘consensus’ on man-made global warming is facing an inconvenient challenge after the release of new temperature data showing the planet has not warmed for the past 15 years.
The figures suggest that we could even be heading for a mini ice age to rival the 70-year temperature drop that saw frost fairs held on the Thames in the 17th Century.
Based on readings from more than 30,000 measuring stations, the data was issued last week without fanfare by the Met Office and the University of East Anglia Climatic Research Unit. It confirms that the rising trend in world temperatures ended in 1997.”
This is not a surprise to the real scientific skeptics, like me, who have been saying this for years. I noted in a post last year that the global temperatures have been flat since 1998 and using the data from the University of East Anglia (called HADCRUT3) and the University of Alabama Huntsville I plotted the following graphs:
But it gets worse for the AGW cult – now scientists are predicting a cycle of the Sun that will reduce Earth’s temperatures over the next decade. From the Daily Mail article:
“Meanwhile, leading climate scientists yesterday told The Mail on Sunday that, after emitting unusually high levels of energy throughout the 20th Century, the sun is now heading towards a ‘grand minimum’ in its output, threatening cold summers, bitter winters and a shortening of the season available for growing food.
Solar output goes through 11-year cycles, with high numbers of sunspots seen at their peak.
We are now at what should be the peak of what scientists call ‘Cycle 24’ – which is why last week’s solar storm resulted in sightings of the aurora borealis further south than usual. But sunspot numbers are running at less than half those seen during cycle peaks in the 20th Century.
Analysis by experts at NASA and the University of Arizona – derived from magnetic-field measurements 120,000 miles beneath the sun’s surface – suggest that Cycle 25, whose peak is due in 2022, will be a great deal weaker still.”
The following graphs from the Daily Mail article show the Sun’s Solar Activity (energy output) and Sunspot count over the past several hundred years as well as the projected Solar Activity for the next solar cycle.
You might think that high sunspot count corresponds to a cooler Sun because sunspots are cooler regions and hence have a different color. But in actuality, higher sunspot activity produces higher net Total Solar Irradiance (TSI) because the regions around the sunspot, called Faculae, are much brighter than the normal regions of the sun, have a higher energy from the normal regions of the Sun and persist longer than the sunspots. So the Sun’s net TSI is higher during periods of high sunspot activity and lower during periods of low sunspot activity.
The Sun has experienced very low TSI from low sunspot activity in the past and these periods were called the Maunder Minimum (which occurred between 1645 and 1715) and the Dalton Minimum (which occurred between 1790 to 1830). These two Solar minimums coincided with a period of history that was characterized by such extremely cold temperatures that scientists call the years from about 1600 to 1850 the Little Ice Age. Farms in Europe and North America were destroyed by the harsh winters, glaciers, canals and rivers in England were frozen deep enough that people ice skated on them and civilizations in Greenland vanished due to starvation.
So the AGW cult is facing a double whammy – the predicted warming from increased CO2 concentrations has not occurred in the last 15 years and the predicted Solar Cycle 25 should bring about much cooler temperatures on Earth. After decades of calling AGW skeptics ‘deniers’, it now appears that the AGW scientists were the true ‘deniers’ and wasted their time chasing a flawed power grab of the Left.
What are the AGW cult scientists to do? They don’t want to suffer the indignity of having to admit that decades of work have been in vain no more than the rest of us want to embrace a civilization crippling CO2 reduction scheme.
No worry, I have a way out for the AGW scientists like Gavin Schmidt, Michael Mann and John Cook. The Climate Change issue has been more akin to a war than a scientific discussion so let’s end this debate the way all wars end – with a peace treaty.
Skeptics will admit that CO2 is a powerful greenhouse gas capable of warming the Earth beyond the point where humans can inhabit it (AGW scientist egos are appropriately stroked) if the AGW scientists admit that the big yellow orb in the sky is swamping out the effects of that tiny molecule (which was totally unexpected by the AGW scientists but common sense to the rest of us).
Problem solved – Everybody is happy, no?
http://metofficenews.wordpress.com/category/met-office-in-the-media/? Daily Mail notorious for fantasy, used to support fascim in ’30s http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=5eBT6OSr1TI 😀
I can’t speak to the credibility of the Daily Mail nor will I try to defend it. But the flat temperatures for the past 15 years is easy to prove (as I did above with data from the University of East Anglia) and the NASA projections for solar cycle 25 are easily seen from their website.
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