Global Temperature Update – October 2014

From NPR:

“The debate over climate change in this country has dramatically shifted over the years. The question is no longer whether climate change exists, but rather what can be done to slow its effects? And the U.S. Department of Defense is asking the same question.”

“This past week, the Pentagon released a report saying that rising temperatures pose an immediate threat to national security, and it outlined a plan to the crisis.”

With all the very real threats in our world (ISIL, Russia, Iran, Ebola, etc.) it’s disturbing to know the Department of Defense (DoD) is burning precious resources to combat a myth pushed by the Anthropogenic Global Warming (AGW) cult.

Sorry to disappoint NPR and the DoD but no, the question about whether manmade CO2 is causing global temperatures to increase has NOT been settled!

I think it’s time for another update on Earth’s global temperature anomalies and Earth’s atmospheric CO2 levels.

For sure, CO2 levels in the atmosphere are continuing to increase as can be seen from this link.

co2

Now let’s look at the global temperature anomalies from three [3] global temperature data sets – The University of East Anglia Climate Research Unit (CRU), the Remote Sensing System (RSS) and the University of Alabama-Huntsville.

NOTE – The CRU data version 3 (HADCRUT3) that I’ve been using for years was abandoned by CRU in May of 2014 so I started using their latest data set (HADCRUT4) for data starting in January 2014.

hadcrut4

rss

uah

As you can see from above, the Earth’s global temperature anomalies have been flat for the past 17+ years.

It gets even worse for the AGW cult when you plot these temperature anomalies against atmospheric CO2 levels (ppm).

hadcrut4 vs co2

rss vs co2

uah vs co2

Just how bad was the AGW prediction on global temperature rise due to atmospheric CO2s?

In 2007, the AGW cult predicted that if we continued to pump an additional 3 ppm of CO2 into the atmosphere every year (what we’re doing right now) then we’d see temperature increases of 0.2°C per decade. Doing the math, that equates to a temperature rise of 0.007°C for every ppm of atmospheric CO2.

Using the graphs above, we see that for the past 17+ years the actual temperature rise per CO2 ppm was 0.0017°C (for CRU), -0.0006°C (for RSS) and 0.0035°C (for UAH). So at best (using the UAH data) the AGW cult predictions were off by a factor of 2 but using the CRU data the predictions were off by a factor of 4. And the RSS data shows a negative correlation to CO2 (more CO2 causes temperatures to decrease) so the AGW cult predictions were totally wrong because the temperature anomalies DECREASED when atmospheric CO2 was increasing.

For those who think I’m “cherry picking” the 17 year time frame, you need to read this peer reviewed paper. It clearly states that we need at least 17 years to gauge the effects of man-made CO2 effects on global temperatures and that is exactly what I’m doing.

“Our results show that temperature records of at least 17 years in length are required for identifying human effects on global-mean tropospheric temperature.”

And we don’t have to look at just temperature anomalies to see how the AGW cult predictions are falling apart. Global sea ice extent graphs of the Arctic and Antarctic are either within the +/- 2 standard deviations of 1981-2010 or way above that level.

arctic sea ice extent

antarctic sea ice extent

The AGW cult predictions are laughable on so many levels but it is almost criminal for news organization like NPR and the Federal government agencies like the DoD to continue to perpetuate this lie from the AGW cult.

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One Response to Global Temperature Update – October 2014

  1. Pingback: Climate Activist Loses Big In Midterm Election | cosmoscon

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