What Happens If Obamacare Threw A Party And Nobody Showed Up?

There is a very real possibility that there will only be a fraction of the required people sign up for healthcare through the Obamacare exchanges by the March 31st deadline.  What does that mean?  Well basically the whole system will collapse and there is a very short but excellent article at Marketplace that lays out the possible end game.

Do yourself a favor and read the short article – It’s not pretty.

down for the countWhat do you think the Leftists will do when they realize Obamacare is on the verge of collapse because there aren’t enough young, healthy people pumping money into the system?  The logical move would be to stop the bleeding, repeal the law and admit defeat but that is not in the DNA of Team Obama.  Instead, they’ll go looking for more revenue to keep the system solvent at least through the mid-term elections.  And how do you think they’ll get that extra revenue?  That’s right, they’ll ask us to do our patriotic duty and pay our fair share. 

Posted in healthcare, politics | 4 Comments

Climate Change Pop Quiz

Let’s play a game to see if you can distinguish between temperature graphs from different time periods.

The following two graphs plot the average annual temperatures for the Contiguous US during two different 22 year time periods.  One of the graphs shows the years 1914 to 1935 and the other shows the years 1991 to 2012.  Can you correctly identify the time periods based purely on the temperature increases?  I have blacked out the years and y-axis values so have a look and take a guess before scrolling down for the answer.

1991 to 2012

1914 to 1935

It’s hard to tell, isn’t it?  We’ve been told that there is unprecedented warming in the last couple of decades but these graphs have similar slopes so it’s difficult to make that claim.

And now for the answer….

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Maybe some jeopardy music is in order?

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The first graph is from 1991 to 2012 and the second graph is from 1914 to 1935.

Our recent warming has a trend of 5.77°F per century but the warming we saw in the early 20th century occurred at a much steeper rate 7.19°F per century.  “Unprecedented” indeed.

It makes sense that “Big Oil” would be spewing CO2 into the atmosphere carte blanche during the Republican administrations of Harding, Coolidge and Hoover.  And silly ole me, I didn’t even know we had SUV’s during the early 20th century.

NOTE – These two graphs were generated from the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA) site and the link can be found here.

Posted in Climate Change | 2 Comments

Plotting Climate Change Fraud

There is a great website from the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA) where you can plot temperature trends in the US and it’s probably not widely shared because if more people knew about it then fewer people would believe the lies of the Anthropogenic Global Warming (AGW) cult.

Here is a plot of temperatures in the Contiguous US (CUS) for the month of October from 1895 to 2013 and it looks pretty flat to me.

cus octoberHere is a plot of temperatures in my home state of South Carolina for October from 1895 to 2013:

SC octoberNotice that cooling trend?  Not exactly Chicken Little, right?

Yes, but what about the summer months?  Surely we see a long term warming trend there.  Well, yes and no.  Here is a plot of temperatures in the CUS for the month of July from 1895 to 2013:

cus julyNotice that the average temperatures in the last decade are about the same as the temperature in the 1930’s?  There is a good reason for this and you can read about it here.   Be sure and read that link but if you don’t have time, here is the takeaway – The Atlantic Multidecadal Oscillation (AMO) and Pacific Decadal Oscillation (PDO) have more responsibility for Earth’s temperatures than atmospheric CO2 concentrations.

But the AGW cult claims that increased atmospheric CO2 concentrations are driving Earth’s temperatures up.  Let’s take a look at that theory and see if the data supports that claim.

Since 1958, atmospheric CO2 concentrations have increased from about 315 ppm to 395 ppm which is a 25 % increase.  Here is the graph:

co2Let’s see what CUS temperatures have done during that same period.

cus 1958From the trend line, temperatures have increased from about 72.8°F to about 74.8°F which amounts to a 2.7% increase.

Based on the two graphs above we can safely state that since 1958 the Atmospheric CO2 concentrations have increased by 25% but CUS temperatures only increased by 2.7%.  Not exactly a direct correlation here.  But I’ve already shown that before from the following graph:

co2 vs cruIt is worth noting that the temperature increases that we’ve seen over the past few decades are not unique.  Let’s see what the CUS temperature increases looked like form 1895 to 1935:

cus 1935OMG the AGW cult would have been in full freak out mode if they would have been in existence in the 1930’s!  The trend line for this 40 year time frame shows an increase of 5.14°F per century!

Keep in mind that the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC) AR4 report predicts future temperature increases of 0.2°C per decade or 2.0°C per century.  To convert Celsius to Fahrenheit you use the following formula – F = C x 9/5 +32 – and the slope of 9/5ths is all you need to convert deltas of C to F so a 2.0°C per century rise per century is equivalent to a 3.6°F rise per century.  The CUS temperature trend increase from 1895 to 1935 is almost 50% more than the fear mongering predictions of the AGW cult!

If you want to counter the pseudo science of the AGW cult all you have to do is point out that the CUS temperature increase from 1895 to 1935 was about 2.8% (72.25°F to 74.3°F) which matches almost exactly the temperature increase (2.7%) we’ve seen from 1958 to 2013.  Not to put too fine a point on this but we were not driving SUV’s during the early 20th century.

Do not be fooled by the State Run Media or be intimidated by the Climate ‘scientists’.  The true deniers of science are those who are members of the AGW cult.  Follow the data.

Posted in Climate Change | 4 Comments

NPR Is Hacktastic!

npr-logo

I guess NPR doesn’t think we can google their old stories to prove what a Hack they are.

Well, they’re wrong.  Here are two NPR articles that prove the political bias that exist at this ‘news’ organization.

The first was written on 13-OCT-2005 and the subject was President Bush’s approval rating.  It was almost a year since he was re-elected but his approval rating dropped to 38% from a high of 50% in January.

The second was written on 07-NOV-2013 and the subject was President Obama’s approval rating.  It has been a year since he was re-elected but his approval rating dropped to 39% from a high of over 50% during the 2012 elections.

Since both of these stories happened at about the exact time for two 2nd term Presidents and the magnitude and timeframe of the decline in approval were almost identical you’d think these two stories would have the same conclusion that the President faces an uphill struggle and has much ground to make up in the coming 3 years of his 2nd term.  But you’d be wrong because NPR isn’t about fairness and journalism.

Let me prove it.

Here are a few quotes from the Bush story from 13-OCT-2005 (emphasis mine):

President Bush’s approval ratings are in a steep decline, according to a new poll by the Pew Research Center. The survey found that only 38 percent of Americans think the president is doing a good job, down from 50 percent in January. For the first time in his presidency, the numbers show most people think Bush will be judged as an unsuccessful president.”

He has a lot of political problems,” said Kohut, “and as a consequence, the Republican Party, looking forward to the midterm elections, has a lot of problems… Every time a president is unpopular or is judged as performing poorly, his party takes it on the chin in the midterm elections.”

Now here are a few quotes from the Obama story from 07-NOV-2013 (emphasis mine):

“It seems obvious to say that a high approval rating helps a president, while a low approval rating hurts him. But here are five reasons Obama’s numbers might not be as troublesome as they sound.”

1 – He was never popular with Congress Anyway

“In other words, Obama has governed like an unpopular president even when he was popular.”

2 – Bad poll numbers are relative

“Sure, only around 40 percent of Americans think Obama is doing a good job. But Congress would love to have that kind of approval rating. They’re looking at single digits — and Republicans in Congress are doing even worse.”

That makes some Democrats optimistic about their party’s chances in 2014, even though the party of the president typically loses seats in a midterm.”

3 – There’s not much purple on the Congressional map

“In the midterm elections, Obama’s approval rating can only really tilt the outcome in purple, or highly competitive, congressional districts. And there are fewer of those than ever before. Redistricting has wiped out swing districts in favor of safe zones for Republicans and Democrats.”

“Political scientist Baker says winning the 17 seats necessary to regain control of the House from Republicans “has always been an uphill prospect for the Democrats,” no matter what the president’s approval rating might be.”

4 – It’s a pretty narrow swing

“Although Obama is at a low point now, his approval rating hasn’t really varied all that much. After his initial election spike in 2008, his favorability numbers have settled into a band between the low 50s to around 40 percent. Not great, but not really terrible either — especially compared with his predecessor.”

5 – Obama’s done running for office

“Perhaps the biggest reason presidents chase high approval ratings is to win re-election. As Obama often tells audiences with evident relief, that’s not something he ever has to worry about again.”

The conclusions of these two articles aren’t even close!

When Bush’s numbers dropped it was terrible.  Bush’s numbers are in a steep decline, he will be judged as an unsuccessful President, he has political problems and Republicans will have trouble in the mid-term elections.  Pretty bad stuff!

But when Obama’s numbers drop the reaction to NPR is ‘meh’, no big deal.  He was never popular with Republicans anyway.  His numbers are better than the House of Representatives.  There will be no impact to the mid-term elections.   Obama never really was that popular anyway.  Obama doesn’t have to worry about re-election.  His numbers are better than Bush’s were!

NPR doesn’t think we see their bias.  They forget that the Internet is forever.

Posted in npr, politics | 8 Comments

Magnum Research Micro Desert Eagle Review

There are two weapons I conceal carry – the North American Arms .22 Magnum and the Magnum Research Micro Desert Eagle .380 ACP – and since I live in the South and wear shorts or light pants 9 months out of the year, the NAA .22 magnum is the weapon of choice due to its incredibly small size.  There is no noticeable bulge and its unique half-way notch cylinder means the hammer rests safely between rounds so there is no chance of an accidental discharge.

But when I’m wearing a coat, jeans, heavy pants or driving in the car the MR .380 is my conceal carry weapon since it provides more knock down power than the .22 magnum.

I recently took this .380 to the range to put it through its paces to check its accuracy and I’ll report on that in this post.

Disclaimer – I am in no way shape or form an expert marksman.  I’m also not a gun novice so the target accuracy I’ll show here can be assumed to represent results that someone of average shooting experience would expect from this weapon.

First, here is a picture of the gun and some specs:

2-MRME380Barrel – 2.22”

Weight (empty) – 14 oz

Length – 4.52”

Sight – Fixed/Non-Adjustable

Finish – Nickel

Magazine – 6 rounds

The range I used was Palmetto State Armory and it is a first class, indoor shooting range that has electronic controlled target systems that allow you to position the target up to 25 yards away in increments of 0.5 yards.  See the picture here:

rangeHere is the target after 13 rounds at 5 yards:

5 yardsI took 10 shots at the body center mass and three at the head and only missed with one (which was one of the head shots).  At 5 yards (which is the most likely range you’ll have to use a concealed weapon permit (CWP) type weapon for defense) this weapon performed very well.   I keep this weapon loaded with hollow point bullets so 12 out of 13 shots would’ve neutralized the attacker and in the even I’d ever have to use this weapon in self defense, I would aim for center mass instead of the head and in that case I would’ve been 100% successful in dropping the attacker.

At 15 yards I took 5 shots center mass and connected on 4 of them – 80% effective – and this was with a stationary target which would not be the case if I was firing at an attacker.  So the success rate would drop considerably in a real life defense scenario.

15 yardsAt 20 yards the accuracy really fell off.  I took 10 shots, aiming at center mass, and only hit the target 8 times but 2 of the ‘hits’ were barely on the arm so I count those as misses.  At 20 yards I was really only successful at neutralizing the attacker 60% of the time.

20 yardsFor fun I shot a clip at 25 yards but didn’t hit the target at all so I won’t post that picture!

So this weapon is fairly lethal at distances less than 15 yards but extremely lethal at distances less than 10 yards and that is really all you can expect from a compact CWP type weapon.

The weapon is fairly compact and as you can see from the picture above, the recoil of the slide will come close to the top of your hand if you have large hands.  I’m a small guy, 5’ 9” 150 lbs, so that was not an issue for me but if you have a larger frame, this weapon may not be for you.  If you are thinking of purchasing this weapon, hold it in a firing position and have someone move the slide back to see if it comes in contact with your hand.  If it does, this gun is not for you.

The gun if fairly easy to disassemble and clean as well.  It requires a little dexterity to move the slide to the proper position, hold it in that position with one hand and then rotate the barrel with the other to release the slide for cleaning but it can be done with very little practice.

In conclusion, I’m very happy with this weapon as one of the two I conceal carry and after spending time on the range, I’m confident I can defend myself if the situation presented itself.  And it was a very fun gun to shoot!  Very little recoil for the .380 ammo and even though it has a double action only trigger, it was very easy to pull.

If you’re looking at .380 guns for your conceal carry, I highly recommend this weapon.

Addendum – If you are interested in getting a CWP, I gave some guidance on that topic in an earlier post here.   As I stated in that post, the hope of every CWP holder is that they will go their entire life and never have to pull their weapon in defense.  I will exhaust all other methods of defense (including running) before I have to pull my weapon out.   The only, and I mean ONLY, time I’ll ever pull my weapon out in public is to fire it as a last resort in self defense.

Posted in CWP, guns and ammo | 1 Comment

How Illness Affects Blood Sugar Measurements

I had read that when a Diabetic gets sick their blood sugar levels will be elevated and after a recent illness I can verify this is true.

Why does this happen?  From the American Diabetes Association:

“When you’re sick, you’re under stress. To deal with this stress, your body releases hormones that help it fight disease. But these hormones have side effects. They raise blood glucose levels and interfere with the blood glucose-lowering effects of insulin.”

I’ll admit I don’t understand the science behind this but empirical evidence over the past few weeks proves this happens.  About 3 weeks ago I started to get what I normally get at the beginning of every Fall – Sneezing, Runny nose, sinus and chest congestion and generally feeling like crap.  After a week of increasing my daily Claritin dosage and using the Neti Pot twice a day I recovered but it took me another week before all the symptoms subsided.  During this 2 week period my blood sugar readings were elevated and this is demonstrated in the following graph of my morning blood sugar measurements (The red arrow shows the spike when I became ill and the green bars represent a ‘normal’ fasting blood sugar measurement for non-diabetics).

blood sugar - sickNote that this data contains measurements starting in late August when I stopped taking my medicine so the high readings on the left happened before losing weight and going on my low carb diet.

During these two weeks fighting my infection, I didn’t alter my low carb diet or decrease my exercise so the only variable that changed was my illness and therefore it can be the only cause for my elevated blood sugar measurements.

Posted in Diabetes | 5 Comments

My Little Bitter Clingers

Today I took my kids to a local shooting range and they got to fire a rifle for the first time and based on their reaction afterwards, I guess Obama will soon call my kids bitter clingers to guns.

My goal was to start my kids’ introduction to firearms with a .22 caliber rifle (low recoil, not very loud and easier to hold for my son who is 9 years old) but we were told that the range was out of .22 ammo (and this was not a surprise).   My kids are not ready to fire hand guns yet and the next smallest caliber rifle they had was an AR-15 that shoots .223 caliber so we decided to give it a go.

My 12 year old daughter is obviously more mature than my son and she had more than a little anxiety going into this but my son was very excited.  When we were on the way to the range my son asked if we would be able to shoot machine guns (of course the answer was no….) so his eyes lit up when he saw we were going to shoot an AR-15.   Since the State Run Media (SRM) vilifies this weapon, you know that the AR-15 looks a lot like a fully automatic military rifle so of course my son was jacked.

My son’s enthusiasm quickly faded once we started walking into the range and he quickly adopted the same fear that my daughter had when we walking into the store.

This is understandable.  The indoor range was busy on a Saturday afternoon and the walk to our bay saw people shooting shotguns and high powered rifles that startled them even though they were wearing very good hearing protection.  Four of your five senses are triggered (pardon the pun) when you are in an indoor shooting range.  You smell the gun powder, you see the intimidating weapons, you hear the loud sounds and you feel the percussions of weapons fired in close proximity to you.  It’s a scene that will be intimidating for any first timer, even adults, so I was not shocked to see my kids a little scared.

I tried my best to educate them for this experience and I went through the various gun safety instructions both at home and again in the range area but no words can prepare a person for the fear one feels the first time you hold a firearm.

After I showed them how to fire it and squeezed off a few rounds myself, my son volunteered to go first (well, his sister forced him to volunteer) and I put the gun in his hands for the first time.  I could see the fear in his face as he realized how heavy this gun was and I waited for him to make the first move.  He looked at me and said he was scared and didn’t want to do it but I reassured him my hand would always be on the barrel with his to steady the gun and that the recoil wouldn’t hurt.

He squeezed the trigger and then smiled, realizing his shoulder didn’t dislocate.

After seeing my son’s fear melt away after squeezing off a few more rounds, my daughter then felt confident enough to try it and her fear was also replaced with enjoyment.

Needless to say the next 45 minutes was pure joy as we ran through 60 rounds of ammo and after it was over the kids were wondering when we could do it again.

My daughter’s comment after the session summed up what most people feel after their first shooting experience – “It’s a lot different than in the movies.”

Amen baby girl!  Movies and video games make firearms seem like toys and if you only listen to the SRM you’ll think that guns are evil.  I posit that a majority of people against gun ownership and the 2nd amendment are people who have never fired a weapon.  I firmly believe that if more adults would open their minds and confront their fears like my kids did today then most of the gun control BS would fade away.

Today my kids took their first step into a larger world, faced their fears and realized sometimes the threat is more terrifying than the thing itself.  They learned that real guns are dangerous and that they must respect all firearms and treat them as if they are loaded.  They now know that there is really no comparison between toy guns and real guns.  But they also realized that, handled in the proper manner, firearms can be safe and enjoyable.

Here are a couple pictures from the session:

kids 2

Although this picture of my son shows him holding the gun by himself, I was always holding the barrel when he actually fired the weapon.

Although this picture of my son shows him holding the gun by himself, I was always holding the barrel when he actually fired the weapon.

Posted in guns and ammo, politics | 1 Comment

In Sandy’s Wake, NPR’s Graph Reading Skills Re-Examined

NPR had a story today on the future of coastal flooding and they interviewed William Sweet from the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration.

The money quote is here (emphasis mine):

“Sea level is changing and it is going to keep changing regardless of who or what is causing it,” Sweet says. “And the impacts are going to become more and more frequent and severe and we’re going to have to deal with it.”

“Sweet and his NOAA colleagues agree with the majority of ocean scientists — that if climate continues to warm, average sea level will continue to rise by as much as 2 feet more by 2050. That’s because a warmer ocean expands in volume. Also, landlocked snow and ice will melt into the ocean. Sea level rise is higher on average along the Eastern Seaboard than most parts of the world because of wind and ocean circulation patterns in the Atlantic.”

“If Climate continues to warm….”

16 years of no warming and reporters continue to allow ‘scientists’ to peddle these lies without even the tiniest bit of a challenge to their claims.

cru tempsuah tempsThis data is easily available to anyone with an internet connection and Microsoft Excel but that’s apparently too difficult.

But then again, Leftist ‘journalists’ don’t have an incentive to debunk these claims.

Posted in Climate Change, npr | 5 Comments

NPR’s Poor Memory

NPR’s Julie Rovner (@JRovner) had a report today about the latest Obamacare website failures but then she touched on the next politically inconvenient truth that Team Obama will have to wrestle with.

From NPR:

“But we’re also hearing about people getting notices that their old health insurance is being canceled, and that could be the next big political issue. Those people are in the individual market who buy their own insurance. That’s about 14 million people out of more than 300 million Americans.”

Notice how she tries to minimize this troublesome consequence of Obamacare by saying that it’s only 14 million out of 300 million Americans?

She continues downfield blocking for Team Obama:

“Some of them are going to have to buy new policies and some are going to have to pay more, because the policies they have now don’t meet the current minimum requirements of the Affordable Care Act. But at the same time, there are people in the individual market who will no longer be paying extra because they’re women, or older, or have pre-existing medical conditions.”

Yea, they won’t be able to keep their insurance but the new policies they are getting are way better thanks to Team Obama.

And one more thing:

“The fact is, one of the biggest things the Affordable Care Act does is remake the market for individually purchased policies. That’s going to cause some dislocation for people in that market now. It’s going to create winners and losers. And it’s the losers who complain the loudest.”

See?  Obamacare is radically transforming the market for individual health insurance so yea some people are going to suffer.  And it’s always those whiny losers who aren’t a team player that do most of the complaining.

The NPR piece ends here and I thought that was odd.  Because unlike NPR, I remember President Obama saying this before Obamacare was passed.

I wonder if NPR’s memory would be any better if a Republican POTUS was in office and was caught in the same lie.

The State Run Media is continuing to ignore the lies of this administration but they are slowly losing the message and as the weeks and months progress and the full failure that is Obamacare starts to hit people where it hurts – their pocket – then they won’t be able to hide the truth any longer.

Posted in healthcare, npr, politics | 3 Comments

Lessons In Project Management From The Obamacare Website

If you are looking for a case study on how to guarantee a project failure then you only need to look to the Obamacare website failures and the testimonies of the four contractors on Capitol Hill today.

I have a PMP (Project Management Professional) certification and have managed many successful (and not so successful projects) in my career and know what it takes to deliver a successful project.  Allow me to provide you a list of top 5 things Project Managers (PM) can do to ensure their projects fail miserably and I’ll use examples from today’s testimony to hammer my points home.

1 – Lack of Testing

As I covered in a previous post, a primary rule in product/software development is to ‘Fail Fast’ which means that you have robust testing and toll gates in the initial design phase of the project to detect  issues early instead of later when changes are much more costly.

That didn’t happen with the Obamacare website.

“In their first public remarks since the debut of the problem-ridden insurance exchange, executives of the main IT companies told members of the House Energy and Commerce Committee that full tests of the Web site that should have been carried out months in advance, but began just two weeks before its rollout.”

2 – Ignoring Project Team Members

It is disastrous for a project if a culture is created by the PM where team members are either discouraged from bringing up issues or are never asked for their input.

It appears the contractors’ opinions were not solicited and they knew the website would fail.

“Top Obamacare contractors said Thursday they never recommended that the Obama administration delay the Oct. 1 launch of HealthCare.gov — even though some of them harbored doubts about a website that would crash shortly after it went live.”

3 – Poor Communication

It appears that the PM of this debacle worked for the Centers for Medicare and Medicaid Services (CMS) and he or she has apparently never managed a project before.

The PM’s communication was so poor that nobody can identify who the actual PM was!

“It was not our decision to go live,” Campbell said. “It was [CMS’s] decision.”

“Republican requests for who exactly at CMS should be held accountable for the bungled rollout were mostly rebuffed. The contractors repeatedly said they couldn’t provide specific agency employees who made key decisions leading up the launch of a faulty website, though they eventually offered two names – Deputy CIO Henry Chao and COO Michelle Snyder.”

Even Jay Carney has no clue who was in charge of this project:

“Asked Thursday who was the “quarterback” for the mistakes, White House spokesman Jay Carney declined to name names. “This is on us. And that goes from the president on down,” he said.”

4 – Scope Creep

It is critical during the project initiation/planning phase to lock the design requirements and scope.  It is all too tempting to add a little here and a little there during the project and before you know it the scope has been drastically altered which makes it impossible to meet the cost, functionality and schedule targets of the original project plan.

Not only does it appear the Obamacare website project suffered from scope creep but also what I’d call scope skyrocketing late in the project.

“An executive of a UnitedHealth Group Inc. unit said at the hearing that his company learned of one key change—disabling a feature allowing users to browse for plans anonymously—about 10 days before the website went live.”

“We don’t know who made the decision, when it was made, or why it was made,” said Andrew Slavitt, group executive vice president of UnitedHealth’s Optum unit.”

5 – Absence of a Team Culture

A large project like this requires many smaller teams to work on smaller pieces of the project but they must still view themselves as part of one big team.  They must not work in a bubble but instead be cognizant of how their pieces of the project fit with the rest of the project team members’ pieces.

Of course it’s the job of the PM to set this culture at the time the project kicks off but this apparently didn’t happen.

 “No one in the government made sure the many complex parts of the federal health-insurance website worked together properly..”

“The contractors said each of their pieces worked more or less as intended, but the HealthCare.gov website was nearly paralyzed when they were bolted together. The federal agency overseeing the site also took on the job of integrating the many parts of the system—an unusual arrangement for such a complex project.”

Conclusion

I have no doubt that there are excellent PM’s that work for the Federal Government in such departments as NASA and the Department of Transportation since they have clearly demonstrated they can deliver on project targets/scope.  But with the HHS and the CMS it appears there is nobody there who has experience running projects on the scale required for the Obamacare website.

And if they are incapable of running a project that builds a website (which is done successfully every day in the private sector) what makes you think they’ll be better at making decisions for your healthcare?

Oh, one more thing.  How much did we pay for this failure? About $483 million.

“Contractors also offered updated price tags for their parts of the project. According to the executives, CGI has been paid $112 million, a sum that would likely go up to $196 million by year’s end. QSSI’s bill would be close to $85 million by year’s end. Equifax has so far collected $2 million, and Serco’s contract was for $200 million, with about $30 million already collected.”

Posted in healthcare, politics | 7 Comments

NPR Blames Republicans

npr-logoNPR is getting tired of people blaming the Obama administration and specifically Kathleen Sebelius for the huge failure of the Obamacare website so they are going into full shill mode to help out.

Who does Julie Rovner blame?

For starters, the Republicans in the House:

Which led to the first big problem — money. When it became clear that HHS would need more money to build the federal exchange than had been allocated in the original law, Republicans in Congress refused to provide it.

As a result, says Angoff, officials “had to scrape together money from various offices within HHS to build the federal exchange.”

Awww, I guess $500 million (the cost to develop the Obamacare website) doesn’t buy what it used to.

But NPR doesn’t stop there.  Let’s blame Mitt Romney too!

Then there was the timing issue. Technically, department officials have had 3 1/2 years since the law passed. But much of that time was spent in limbo. First there was waiting to see if the Supreme Court would overturn the law in the summer of 2012. (It didn’t.) Then there was waiting to see if Mitt Romney and a Republican Senate would be elected that November to repeal it. (They weren’t.)

And finally let’s blame all those obstinate Republican states that refused to let the Federal Government set up their exchange.

Then it was another month waiting for states to decide if they wanted to build their own health exchanges or let the federal government do it for them.

“The administration bent over backward to accommodate the states; the administration begged states to cooperate,” Angoff says.

And in the end, the administration made a major miscalculation. Officials figured that even Republican states would both create their own exchanges and expand their Medicaid programs because both came with so much federal money attached.

The Left is really stretching on this one but we can always count on NPR to carry the Leftist’s water and do the bidding of Team Obama.

Don’t forget, about 5% of NPR’s funding comes from our tax dollars.

 

Posted in npr, politics | 8 Comments

Fail Fast

obamacare-404-error

During my time spent in Product Development we had a goal with every new project – Fail Fast!

That might sound counter-intuitive to those outside of R&D or Product Development but think about it.  During the development phase, there should be sufficient testing performed and objective scrutiny to weed out design flaws early in the development process vs. later in production or when the public is using the product.

If you use that approach of ‘Fail Fast’ then you’ll ensure that only the most robust products make it to Market.  Every company in the US engaged in product or software development knows this.

It appears Kathleen Sebelius and the rest of Team Obama could take this same advice with regard to their Obamacare product!

“After two weeks of review, the HHS secretary concluded, “We didn’t have enough testing, specifically for high volumes, for a very complicated project.”

“The online insurance marketplace needed five years of construction and a year of testing, she said: “We had two years and almost no testing.”

Funny, I don’t remember hearing that we really needed 5 years to roll out these insurance marketplaces.

And even lap dog “Journolist” Ezra Klein isn’t buying this excuse and it appears some of the scales are falling from his eyes.

As was predicted, the Federal Government spent years developing a website that was unusable because the HHS didn’t have a leader who understood the simple rule of product development – Fail Fast.  Any software company in the private sector would’ve figured out these problems early and fixed them but that is not how our Federal Government operates.

But never fear, I’m sure they’ll get it right for the really important stuff like providing world class healthcare to the citizens of the United States.

Don’t count on it!  Remember, building a website is the easiest part of Obamacare and they screwed this up royally!

I’m reminded of Matthew 25:19-21.

After a long time the master of those servants returned and settled accounts with them.

The man who had received five bags of gold brought the other fix.  ‘Master,’ he said, ‘you entrusted me with five bags of gold.  See, I have gained five more’

His master replied, ‘Well done, good and faithful servant!  You have been faithful with a few things; I will put you in charge of many things.  Come and share your master’s happiness!’

This parable teaches a simple but extremely valuable lesson.  People who show that they can handle a little bit of responsibility will then be rewarded with more responsibility/riches.

If the HHS can’t be trusted to build a simple website in 2 years, what makes you think they’ll be successful at the more complicated pieces of Obamacare?

They won’t and we knew it all along.

Posted in healthcare, politics | 4 Comments

Nothing New Under The Sun – GOP Version

Senate Republicans Speak To The Media After Their Weekly Policy MeetingIt appears the Republicans in the House and Senate are ready to stop the shutdown and get absolutely nothing in return.  But never fear, I bet they tell us they’ll get tough on the next fight.

Just like McConnell promised in January:

“The tax issue is finished,” Mr. McConnell said on the ABC News program “This Week.” “Over. Completed. That’s behind us.”

And later in the NY Times story:

“Mr. McConnell repeatedly sidestepped questions about whether he supported Republican senators who have suggested that a default – and even a brief shutdown of the government – might be necessary to secure deep spending cuts.”

“My answer is hopefully we don’t need to get to that point,” he said on ABC.  “The president surely must know we’re spending way too much.  So why don’t we do something about reducing spending?”

Yes, the old saying is true – there is nothing new under the sun.

“What has been will be again, what has been done will be done again; there is nothing new under the sun.” – Ecclesiastes 1:9

We’ll just keep caving and kicking the can down the road.  I hope I’m wrong but I know the definition of insanity – doing the same thing over and over and expecting different results – and I’m not insane.

 

Posted in politics | 4 Comments

Reversing Diabetes – 2 Month Update

It’s been almost 2 months since I stopped taking my Type 2 Diabetes medicine and brought my blood sugar measurements within the ‘normal’ range and I’d like to provide an update.

I’m happy to report that my fasting (pre-breakfast) blood sugar measurements are still in the high normal range of 90-100 mg/dL!

morning blood sugar

You see the steep drop off in my fasting blood sugar measurements starting when I started my diet and then the measurements rise and level off as I increased my daily caloric intake from 800 calories to around 2,200 calories.

Here are some more graphs showing my progress and the correlation (although somewhat weak) between daily carbohydrate intake and my morning blood sugar measurement.

weight

bedtime blood sugar vs carbs

blood sugar vs carbsSo what is my main take-away from the past two months?

Limit My Carbohydrates

I limit my daily intake of carbohydrates to around 65 grams per day and around 40 net carbs per day (subtracting those carbs from fiber which are slowly digested and don’t spike my blood sugar).  Carbs are my worst enemy with regard to my Type 2 Diabetes so I’ve had to cut out my old favorites – bread, rice, grits, biscuits, bread, potatoes and tortillas.

I don’t eat sweets so those carbs were easy to eliminate but cutting out high carb foods was tough but not near as bad as I had thought.  When I tell my story to people they ask me how I was able to do it (“My God, I could never stop eating <insert food here>”) but this is how I see it.

When a person with Type 2 Diabetes is facing the end of life and is in a hospital waiting for the doctor to amputate a foot or coming to terms with the fact that they are going blind or suffering from heart disease I wonder what thoughts go through their mind.  Do they think about how wonderful it was to eat that pasta, grits or biscuits?  Or do they wish they had a few more years to watch their kids graduate from college?  Do they wish for a little more time to walk their daughter down the aisle?

For me, I found it very easy to give up some of the foods I love if it means I die from something other than complications caused by Type 2 Diabetes.  I have made this lifestyle change not only for myself but for my wife and kids as well.  I can’t change my DNA and I have Type 2 Diabetes because of my genetics but being here for my family is the most important thing I can do and that trumps any pleasure I may receive from eating a meal that I know will do damage to my body.

ADDENDUM – The spreadsheet showing my full data as well as details of meals can be found here –>  diabetes reversal.

Posted in Diabetes | 24 Comments

Kampf Verloren

528px-Punishment_sisyphEven though I will continue to fight for Conservative principles until I die, I can’t help but think we’ve reached a point where we’re fighting a lost struggle (or Kampf Verloren in German, Hey it’s the only foreign language I even halfway know so indulge me…).

After last year’s Presidential election I felt that the US reached a tipping point.  We now have a significant number of voters plugged into the Progressive/Liberal hive mind who  are convinced the Federal Government exists to give them free shit and there are enough of these Liberal zombies to elect people who promise to keep giving them free shit.

It’s mathematical that eventually we’ll run out of people like me (who pay taxes) and then it’ll all come crashing down.   Those of us who point that out and advocate a life of hard work, point out that our actions have consequences and stress that Freedom can only exist with a limited Government are labeled racists and heartless.

I sometimes feel like Sisyphus, who was condemned to push a rock up a hill only to watch it roll back down and repeat this exercise for eternity.

Sorry for the gloom and doom but I feel the House Republicans are about to snatch defeat from the jaws of victory and it’s depressing.

Let. It. Burn.

Posted in politics | 9 Comments

House Republican Strategy May Work

Every day that the partial Government shutdown goes on the more I’m realizing this could be a real game changer.

First off, unlike what Obama’s handlers thought would happen, Obama’s approval rating is going down.  The State Run Media is doing their best to shield him but the Low Information Voters may be waking up.  Obama’s overall approval rating is now at 37% according to the AP article and that’s not good considering the large megaphone POTUS wields.

There are now dissentions in the ranks as John Stewart grilled HHS Secretary Kathleen Sebelius and Wolf Blitzer is thinking it may be a good idea to do what the House suggested – delay the individual mandate of Obamacare for a year.  The Horror!

But the real light at the end of the tunnel that I see is coming up to the Debt ceiling limit drop dead date of 17-OCT-13.  If the House Republicans can stick to their guns then they may be able to push through this with some real budget reform and cut our Federal spending in a meaningful way (which is the goal anyway).

Failing to raise the debt ceiling limit does not have to be a catastrophe for the US.  Here is a great article showing how the scare mongering of the Left about the US defaulting on its debt if the debt ceiling isn’t raised is just a lie.  Here’s the money quote (emphasis mine):

“The White House wants people to believe genuine default is likely even though tax receipts this fiscal year are expected to be more than $3 trillion and interest on the debt is projected to be only $237 billion. In other words, the Treasury will collect more than 12 times as much revenue as needed to pay interest on the debt. Even someone like me, with my well-known views on the incompetence of the federal government, thinks that the Treasury Department will have no problem figuring out how to avoid default.”

Just like many American families have faced in the past, the US Federal government has reached a point where their credit cards are maxed out and they no longer have enough money to continue spending to a lifestyle that they’ve been accustomed.  If the Federal Government were a typical American family then they’d sit down and itemize their ‘must haves’ and eliminate spending on their ‘like to haves’ so that their creditors are paid and their spending is less than or equal to their revenue.  Speaking from personal experience, this process is not fun but it is necessary.

The Federal government has needed to do this for decades and we’ve heard politicians promise of going through the budget ‘line by line’ to figure this out but it’s never happened.  Since the ‘line by line’ approach appears too difficult to do then there is another way and it will happen when we reach our debt limit.

If you want to find out what spending is ‘essential’ then one way to do it is cut all spending off and then wait to see where the pain comes.  One by one the pain shows up and then Congress and the POTUS can approve that spending.  If the pain never comes from a budget line item, like funding for NPR, then cut it out permanently.   After looking over the list of all Federal government agencies and employees here, you can’t tell me there is not fat to cut.

Force the Federal government to prioritize spending, make meaningful cuts to entitlement reforms and balance a budget.  We can do all that while paying the interest on our debt and reverse the disasterous course we’ve been on for decades.

But all of this won’t happen if the Republicans cave and allow an extension to the debt limit.  We must hit this debt limit to solve our problems.  I don’t see any other way.  Let it burn!

Posted in politics | 3 Comments

Upside-Down Pinocchio

obama_pinocchio-220x300As we get close to the debt ceiling battle, let’s remember what Obama said as a Senator in 2006:

“The fact that we are here today to debate raising America’s debt limit is a sign of leadership failure. It is a sign that the U.S. government can’t pay its own bills. … I therefore intend to oppose the effort to increase America’s debt limit.”

Of course now Obama is all for raising the debt ceiling now and his flip-flop earned him an ‘upside-down Pinocchio’ rating from the Washington Post.

“For making an argument that the president now decries as politics, he earns the upside-down Pinocchio, signifying a major-league flip-flop. (We have rarely given this ruling, but are eager for other examples from readers.)”

Our petulant POTUS once again shows he is unfit for the job the low information voters gave him.

Republicans should hold firm and continue this partial Federal Government shutdown through the debt ceiling drop dead date and force Washington DC to implement real spending reductions in entitlement reforms and further kill Obamacare by removing the Medical Device Tax and providing a 1 year extension to the individual mandate.

The US Government must now address their issues like every American family has to do at some time.  They must realize there isn’t enough money to pay for what they ‘want’ so they must now prioritize to pay for what they ‘need.’

It’s time to make those decisions.  Actually, it’s about 20 years past the time to make those decisions.

Posted in Uncategorized | 1 Comment

Liberalism Must Be Defeated (Part 2)

Currently in the US the most significant threat to our Freedom comes from inside our borders.  The enemy is called Liberalism and I laid out my justification for calling it our #1 enemy in a previous post.

Since this enemy is unconventional and so different from our previous Public Enemy #1’s, this makes it difficult to get organized and win this war because we are handcuffed with preconceived notions on how to fight enemies.  We can’t send in a Seal team, park an aircraft carrier off the coast or invade Liberalism.  I must admit that I’ve been at a loss how we Americans who have not fallen under the hive mind thinking of the Left can defeat this enemy especially when Leftists basically control the airwaves and feed their flocks and new converts every evening on the national news shows.

While reading Flying High I found a section of the book that gave a strategy for defeating an enemy of the US and while that section of the book was geared toward a previous enemy of US Freedom (Communism), I think that same strategy, repurposed, can lead us to victory over Liberalism.

In 1960, Barry Goldwater enlisted the help of Brent Bozell to craft an essay on US policy toward the Soviet Union.  This essay was meant as a rebuke to the prevailing accommodationist line in Washington, DC and was published in the National Review and the following excerpt from Flying High Chapter 6 sums it up.

 “It follows that victory over Communism is the dominant, proximate goal of American policy.  Proximate in the sense that there are more distant, more “positive” ends we seek, to which victory over Communism is but a means.  But dominant in the sense that every other objective, no matter how worthy intrinsically, must defer to it.”

Did you catch that?  In the early 1960’s, Communism was viewed as such a threat to US Freedom that all other objectives were subservient to the main objective of defeating Communism.  Later in this section of the book, Goldwater and Bozell went on to talk about how peace, freedom, justice and prosperity are worthy objectives but we must compromise these in the fight to accomplish our victory over the primary enemy of Communism.

Another quote from this section of the book – emphasis mine:

“It may be, of course, that such objectives can be pursued consistently with a policy designed to overthrow Communism; my point is that where conflicts arise they must always be resolved in favor of achieving the indispensable condition for a tolerant world – the absence of Soviet Communist power.

According to Goldwater and Bozell, if the US has its top priority of achieving victory over Communism, every foreign and domestic policy issue should be judged on whether our actions on these issues helped achieve that main goal.  Forget the fact that some of our ideals would be occasionally compromised, that was a necessary casualty in the overall war on Communism.  We had to focus on the main goal and nothing else.  The goal of defeating Communism was that important!

In my opinion we, the United States of America, have an enemy that must be defeated and we must focus on that main goal and nothing else.  We must defeat Liberalism now and nothing else really matters.

So how do we do fight this war?

Although it’s fun to reveal the overwhelming Leftist bias of so called journalists and expose them on social media, we can’t win over the State Run Media because they’ll continue to parrot the talking points of Liberalism and cast those opposed in the role of the enemy.  The SRM’s Leftist bias is ingrained in their culture and will not be changed – See the excellent book by Bernard Goldberg entitled “Bias” for more on that.

Simply put, we have to vote the Liberals (and complacent Republicans) out of office so they can no longer do harm to our country.   We have to get enough American citizens on our side to defeat Liberals in the House, Senate and White House in the next election cycles.  The people we elect make the laws and until we purge Congress and the White House of Leftists and those who choose to ‘go along to get along’ we won’t accomplish our main goal.

How do we rally Americans to this cause of defeating Liberalism?  Goldwater has some advice (again from Flying High, Chapter 6) – emphasis mine:

“The people of the world and their leaders do not rally instinctively behind good causes:  if that were true, the plague of Communism would long since have disappeared from our planet.  They do, however, rally behind good causes that are energetically and purposively pressed, and that show promise of winning.  If we simply summon the courage of our convictions, the blessings of a moderately tolerable life will soon fall on others, as well as ourselves.  And future generations will honor us.”

In a perfect world every citizen would read Heritage posts (and the many like them on other Conservative blogs) and realize that our only hope of surviving as the leader of the free world is to vote Liberals out now.  But that is sadly not the case so we have to do it another way.

It is on us to talk to our colleagues/friends/associates and blog/tweet/facebook, etc. in such a way to convince them that we have a valid cause to fight for, we can win this battle and our victory will make the world a better place for our children.

All foreign and domestic policy issues, elections and budget fights from here going forward should be framed into the context of defeating Liberalism.  No compromise.  No appeasement.  No holding on to the status quo.  Every issue must be viewed in the light of our overall objective of defeating Liberalism.

Sad to say but this might mean we support a RINO in purple states so that the Democrat can be defeated.  This might also mean we abandon the ‘purity test’ during Presidential Primaries to elect a candidate that can win in 2016.  It pains me to say this but the reality is that many in the US have been brainwashed by the SRM and other Leftists to the point that they will not even listen to someone who receives a high score by some Tea Party metric.

Going for the home run sounds romantic and gets the Conservatives excited but we face an enemy that is very entrenched and has their defenses fortified.  For that reason we must employ island hopping tactics vs. an invasion of the mainland (just like we did in the Pacific theater during WWII).  This victory will not be won in a year or maybe even 10 years but if we never lose sight of our overall enemy and follow the strategy outlined by Goldwater/Bozell, we can win this war.

The next time you go into a voting booth, write a blog, send a tweet, post something on Facebook, talk politics with a friend or write a check to a political candidate ask yourself if your actions are furthering the cause of defeating Liberalism.

Posted in politics | 10 Comments

Low Information Voters

Want to know why I believe we may be beyond the point of fixing this country?

Two tweets from @ThatsWhatsUp333 are given for your consideration (and a screen cap is shown too in case he deletes these).

dd tweet 1dd tweet 2Sometimes I think it’s easier to teach a dog how to solve a Rubik’s Cube than debate these low information voters (LIV’s).

And see that blue double-D twibbon on his Twitter profile pic?  No, that doesn’t stand for ‘Dumb Democrat’ but it should.  That graphic is pasted on people’s pictures that belong to the #UniteBlue hive mind and trust me; @ThatsWhatsUp333 is not an aberration with this group.

Maybe instead of using graphs, charts, history, economics and math to debate these LIV’s we should use cartoons.  I suggest we start with this one.

Posted in politics | 2 Comments

How Long Can It Go?

Today was a great day with the Republicans in the House finally holding the line and at allowing Harry Reid’s partial government shutdown to happen.

There were many great blogs today on the shutdown but the best, hands down, came from The Matt Walsh Blog.

I will not reveal the literary trickeration he used to hammer home his points but go read the whole thing now.

Yes, the size of our Federal Government is massive and that blog did a great job of making that point.

So what’s next?  How long can this ‘shutdown’ go on?

Here is my hope.  The partial shutdown goes for weeks and maybe months with the House Republicans refusing to make any more concessions unless Harry Reid and Barack Obama offer to negotiate.  Team Obama will be confident in the fact that the State Run Media will continue to push their narrative (and they will) and keep public opinion on their side but I think their plan may be vulnerable.

Let’s suppose that the Government partial shutdown turns into the same nothing burger like the Sequester and every week that goes by more people start realizing that the Seventh Seal is not about to be broken.  Maybe independents and right leaning Democrats start to realize that our Federal Government is too bloated and there is still fat to cut.

Then the leverage in our continuing budget debates shifts from the Big Government Leftists to the fiscally responsible Tea Party.  The Left is then faced with the dreaded rule #9 from Saul Alinsky’s Rules for Radicals – “The threat is usually more terrifying than the thing itself.”

Hope is not a strategy but right now that’s about all we have.

Posted in politics | 2 Comments